Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.471785 0.548661 0.633665 0.734569 0.851028 0.981178 1.137625
2025-03-09 0.342176 0.444277 0.569559 0.734331 0.945095 1.205435 1.551266
2025-03-16 0.262188 0.368527 0.509134 0.708120 0.981948 1.344997 1.862436
2025-03-23 0.232237 0.348026 0.510626 0.754682 1.110748 1.610217 2.363027
2025-03-30 0.191982 0.304473 0.471057 0.734385 1.138776 1.734704 2.677786
2025-04-06 0.160217 0.267438 0.434002 0.709852 1.153400 1.836486 2.965568
2025-04-13 0.135579 0.237221 0.402212 0.687370 1.165557 1.932171 3.250476
2025-04-20 0.121004 0.221068 0.390171 0.694067 1.223582 2.104092 3.673686
2025-04-27 0.113705 0.216171 0.395870 0.730592 1.334661 2.373285 4.286510
2025-05-04 0.105073 0.207497 0.393572 0.752189 1.421311 2.608791 4.865185
2025-05-11 0.095688 0.195991 0.384488 0.759838 1.482854 2.805338 5.393717
2025-05-18 0.086500 0.183508 0.371844 0.758812 1.527305 2.974163 5.887087
2025-05-25 0.077430 0.170246 0.356497 0.751541 1.560687 3.129195 6.378331
2025-06-01 0.070128 0.159670 0.345238 0.751210 1.608090 3.316845 6.955638
2025-06-08 0.061333 0.144569 0.322665 0.724410 1.597889 3.389056 7.308495
2025-06-15 0.059895 0.145630 0.334392 0.772012 1.748995 3.802836 8.407091
2025-06-22 0.053213 0.133643 0.316080 0.751261 1.749880 3.904066 8.855880
2025-06-29 0.047050 0.121979 0.296970 0.726180 1.737888 3.975876 9.247432
2025-07-06 0.041773 0.111707 0.279736 0.703195 1.727705 4.049943 9.650805
2025-07-13 0.038886 0.107054 0.275257 0.710043 1.787880 4.287191 10.449392
2025-07-20 0.037947 0.107339 0.282859 0.747384 1.925286 4.714851 11.734527
2025-07-27 0.036225 0.105281 0.284327 0.769464 2.027650 5.070523 12.884522
2025-08-03 0.033936 0.101334 0.280447 0.777283 2.095021 5.349080 13.875435